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August 14, 2020
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Bill Barnwell

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How far could the Packers and Seahawks fall? Barnwell predicts NFL teams most likely to decline

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On Monday, we ran my annual column looking at the NFL teams that are most likely to improve this upcoming season. That one usually goes over well. Everybody likes hope. Today, we’re going to look at the teams most likely to decline in 2020. This one just gets people angry.......
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Are the Cowboys contenders? Barnwell predicts NFL teams most likely to improve

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Each year around this time, I try to figure out what’s going to happen in the upcoming NFL season. Doing that in August isn’t exactly an exclusive hobby of mine, but I try to focus on using metrics and measures that have historically been good predictors of future team performance.......
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Barnwell: Projecting future Hall of Famers for all 32 NFL teams

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In a normal universe, we would be celebrating the Pro Football Hall of Fame Class of 2020 right about now. Instead, legendary players and coaches like Troy Polamalu and Jimmy Johnson will wait until next year to give their speeches in Canton, Ohio. The Hall of Fame Game, like the......
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Barnwell ranks the NFL’s biggest outlier contracts: What’s with these massive fullback deals?

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Most public conversations about NFL contracts tell only a fraction of the story. We talk about the total number when only a portion of most multiyear deals are guaranteed. We compare players based on skill when contracts are a product of leverage. The salary cap has been less of a......
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Grading the Jamal Adams trade: Are the Seahawks really Super Bowl contenders?

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For the fourth time in three years, an NFL team hoping to make a leap to the next level has traded away two first-round picks to acquire a young superstar. In some ways, the Seahawks’ unexpected decision to trade three picks and Bradley McDougald to the Jets for All-Pro safety......
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Let’s predict the NFL MVP: Barnwell on why it will be one of these 260 players

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Picking an MVP in advance of a typical NFL season is difficult. Remember last year? The trendiest candidates heading into the regular season were Carson Wentz, Baker Mayfield and Mitchell Trubisky. Not ideal. Wentz had a good season without ever seriously getting in the MVP hunt, and Mayfield and Trubisky......
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No deal for Dak and Dallas: Barnwell picks winners, losers and dominoes

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The franchise-tag extension deadline has come and gone. While a long-term contract between Dak Prescott and the Dallas Cowboys seemed to make sense for all parties involved, the two sides weren’t able to come to terms. Prescott will play out his $31.4 million franchise tag for the 2020 season before......
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Ranking offensive weapons for every NFL team: Barnwell goes 32-1

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The most important thing for an NFL team is to find a franchise quarterback. The second-most important thing might be surrounding that quarterback with weapons. The Ravens went shopping for the likes of Mark Ingram and Marquise Brown last offseason and helped Lamar Jackson emerge as MVP. The Chiefs have......
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Is Patrick Mahomes’ $500 million extension actually team-friendly? Barnwell answers 8 questions

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Most days, it seems pretty good to be Patrick Mahomes. Even by the lofty standards of the reigning Super Bowl MVP, though, Monday was a particularly good afternoon for him. The 24-year-old agreed to terms with the Kansas City Chiefs on what is reportedly the largest contract for an athlete......
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Barnwell: Is this Sam Darnold’s last chance? How the Jets have failed him

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This week, I checked in with progress reports for quarterbacks from the 2018 NFL draft. Five quarterbacks were drafted in the first round that year, and I took detailed looks at Lamar Jackson (Tuesday), Josh Allen (Wednesday), Baker Mayfield (Thursday) and Sam Darnold (Friday). Sorry, Josh Rosen; I’ll get to......
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Barnwell: What went wrong for Baker Mayfield, and can he be fixed?

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This week, I’m going to check in with progress reports for quarterbacks from the 2018 NFL draft. Five quarterbacks were drafted in the first round that year, and I’ll take detailed looks at Lamar Jackson (Tuesday), Josh Allen (Wednesday), Baker Mayfield (Thursday) and Sam Darnold (Friday). Sorry, Josh Rosen; I’ll......
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Barnwell: Josh Allen needs to evolve for the Bills to take the next step. Can he?

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This week, I’m going to check in with progress reports for quarterbacks from the 2018 NFL draft. Five quarterbacks were drafted in the first round that year, and I’ll take detailed looks at Lamar Jackson (Tuesday), Josh Allen (Wednesday), Baker Mayfield (Thursday) and Sam Darnold (Friday). Sorry, Josh Rosen; I’ll......

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