Polls/Data
Prediction Market Trend
Market-Implied Probability trends derived from prediction-market prices. Prices reflect traders' expectations and are not Break'n News endorsements, statistical models, or forecasts.
Market-Implied Probability • Polygon
Featured Prediction Market Trend
Next French Presidential Election
Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election38%
Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election23%
Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election13%
David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election8%
François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election6%
Updates throughout the day.
Market-Implied Probability • Polygon
Prediction Market Trend
Fed Decision in October?
25 bps increase67%
No change33%
50+ bps increase1%
25 bps decrease1%
50+ bps decrease0%
Updates throughout the day.