NFL Week 7 · Matchup Intelligence
LA at LV
Sunday, October 25 at 4:25 PM EDT
Projected score
LA 26 · LV 23
Win probability
LV 33.1%
LA 66.9%
Tie 0.0%
Injury impact
No current-week report-status adjustments are available yet.
Weather Prediction
No outdoor NWS forecast is available yet. Forecasts are added when the game enters the NWS forecast horizon; indoor games do not require an outdoor forecast.
Team strength snapshot
LA · Elo 1591
Offense EPA/play 0.040 · Defense EPA/play 0.025
Offense success 50.4% · Defense success 48.9%
LV · Elo 1358
Offense EPA/play -0.117 · Defense EPA/play -0.041
Offense success 43.6% · Defense success 44.0%
Matchup Advantage Matrix
Pregame V3.4 matchup signals. Positive values lean toward LV; negative values lean toward LA.
Opponent-adjusted EPA
LA · -0.103
Pressure matchup
LA · -0.089
Explosive-play matchup
LA · -0.027
Third-down matchup
LV · 0.027
Red-zone matchup
LV · 0.093
QB intelligence
LA · -0.009
Injury availability
Even · 0.000
Quarterback comparison
LA · M.Stafford
224 season pass attempts · EPA/dropback 0.142 · CPOE 0.3
LV · K.Cousins
183 season pass attempts · EPA/dropback 0.188 · CPOE 1.4
Prediction range
LA: median 26, 10th–90th percentile 14–38
LV: median 23, 10th–90th percentile 11–35
Recent form
BUF 37 · LA 34
LV 17 · NE 45
KC 30 · LV 27
LA 24 · PHI 20
LA 26 · DEN 30
LV 35 · NO 27
NYG 6 · LA 28
LV 26 · LAC 14
MIA 13 · LV 27
SF 27 · LA 7
Model context
BN NFL V4 preserves the chronologically validated V3.4 win-probability model — opponent-adjusted EPA and success rate, pressure, explosive plays, third downs, red zone, QB intelligence, Elo and player-aware injury availability — and adds a probability-consistent score layer so the projected score and favored team no longer contradict the win probability. Prediction ranges use chronological out-of-sample empirical score residuals. Weather remains part of Matchup Intelligence but is not used in the current prediction calculation. New prediction snapshots are timestamped rather than overwriting earlier forecasts.
Generated Oct 16, 2026, 6:46 PM EDT