Sun, Nov 8, 9:30 AM EST
CIN win probability 63.0%
Full matchup analysis →Polls/Data · NFL
Break'n proprietary model projections for upcoming NFL games. Each matchup includes a projected score and win probability. Predictions are versioned so updates are preserved rather than overwritten.
Updated Nov 5, 2026, 6:46 PM EST
Sun, Nov 8, 9:30 AM EST
CIN win probability 63.0%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 PM EST
NO win probability 52.0%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 PM EST
DAL win probability 57.4%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 PM EST
DEN win probability 57.2%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 PM EST
DET win probability 73.2%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 PM EST
LAR win probability 63.9%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 PM EST
PHI win probability 54.9%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 PM EST
KC win probability 76.7%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Nov 8, 4:05 PM EST
HOU win probability 62.7%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Nov 8, 4:05 PM EST
SF win probability 81.8%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Nov 8, 4:25 PM EST
SEA win probability 81.3%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Nov 8, 4:25 PM EST
NE win probability 62.9%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Nov 8, 8:20 PM EST
CHI win probability 72.7%
Full matchup analysis →Mon, Nov 9, 8:15 PM EST
BUF win probability 57.7%
Full matchup analysis →Thu, Nov 12, 8:15 PM EST
NYG win probability 53.8%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Nov 15, 9:30 AM EST
DET win probability 53.7%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 PM EST
BUF win probability 76.0%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 PM EST
CAR win probability 51.4%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 PM EST
HOU win probability 59.3%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 PM EST
JAX win probability 80.1%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 PM EST
KC win probability 64.0%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 PM EST
IND win probability 62.5%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 PM EST
GB win probability 54.2%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Nov 15, 4:05 PM EST
LAR win probability 69.0%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Nov 15, 4:05 PM EST
SEA win probability 69.0%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Nov 15, 4:25 PM EST
SF win probability 64.8%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Nov 15, 8:20 PM EST
CIN win probability 63.6%
Full matchup analysis →Mon, Nov 16, 8:15 PM EST
BAL win probability 68.4%
Full matchup analysis →Thu, Nov 19, 8:15 PM EST
HOU win probability 70.0%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Nov 22, 1:00 PM EST
KC win probability 78.1%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Nov 22, 1:00 PM EST
BAL win probability 50.9%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Nov 22, 1:00 PM EST
JAX win probability 73.4%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Nov 22, 1:00 PM EST
BUF win probability 86.3%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Nov 22, 1:00 PM EST
CHI win probability 80.2%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Nov 22, 1:00 PM EST
DET win probability 71.0%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Nov 22, 1:00 PM EST
DAL win probability 74.9%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Nov 22, 4:05 PM EST
LARC win probability 53.6%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Nov 22, 4:25 PM EST
DEN win probability 69.1%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Nov 22, 4:25 PM EST
PIT win probability 57.9%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Nov 22, 8:20 PM EST
SF win probability 69.0%
Full matchup analysis →Mon, Nov 23, 8:15 PM EST
CIN win probability 63.2%
Full matchup analysis →Wed, Nov 25, 8:00 PM EST
LAR win probability 60.0%
Full matchup analysis →Thu, Nov 26, 1:00 PM EST
DET win probability 53.6%
Full matchup analysis →Thu, Nov 26, 4:30 PM EST
DAL win probability 68.0%
Full matchup analysis →Thu, Nov 26, 8:20 PM EST
BUF win probability 65.5%
Full matchup analysis →Fri, Nov 27, 3:00 PM EST
PIT win probability 52.8%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Nov 29, 1:00 PM EST
MIN win probability 71.2%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Nov 29, 1:00 PM EST
HOU win probability 60.6%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Nov 29, 1:00 PM EST
CLE win probability 53.8%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Nov 29, 1:00 PM EST
CIN win probability 77.7%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Nov 29, 1:00 PM EST
IND win probability 54.8%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Nov 29, 1:00 PM EST
NYJ win probability 50.2%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Nov 29, 4:05 PM EST
JAX win probability 86.4%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Nov 29, 4:25 PM EST
SF win probability 61.6%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Nov 29, 4:25 PM EST
WAS win probability 50.1%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Nov 29, 8:20 PM EST
NE win probability 71.7%
Full matchup analysis →Mon, Nov 30, 8:15 PM EST
TB win probability 59.0%
Full matchup analysis →Thu, Dec 3, 8:15 PM EST
LAR win probability 55.4%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Dec 6, 1:00 PM EST
CIN win probability 65.4%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Dec 6, 1:00 PM EST
DET win probability 64.6%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Dec 6, 1:00 PM EST
GB win probability 65.5%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Dec 6, 1:00 PM EST
JAX win probability 50.4%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Dec 6, 1:00 PM EST
TB win probability 65.5%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Dec 6, 1:00 PM EST
SF win probability 75.0%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Dec 6, 1:00 PM EST
WAS win probability 55.5%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Dec 6, 4:05 PM EST
DEN win probability 76.4%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Dec 6, 4:05 PM EST
ARI win probability 52.6%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Dec 6, 4:25 PM EST
BUF win probability 51.9%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Dec 6, 4:25 PM EST
MIN win probability 70.5%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Dec 6, 8:20 PM EST
PIT win probability 54.0%
Full matchup analysis →Mon, Dec 7, 8:15 PM EST
SEA win probability 69.4%
Full matchup analysis →Thu, Dec 10, 8:15 PM EST
NE win probability 61.5%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Dec 13, 1:00 PM EST
CLE win probability 53.1%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Dec 13, 1:00 PM EST
CHI win probability 74.8%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Dec 13, 1:00 PM EST
DEN win probability 61.8%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Dec 13, 1:00 PM EST
HOU win probability 56.9%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Dec 13, 1:00 PM EST
PHI win probability 55.8%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Dec 13, 1:00 PM EST
CAR win probability 62.6%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Dec 13, 1:00 PM EST
BAL win probability 58.9%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Dec 13, 1:00 PM EST
DET win probability 82.0%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Dec 13, 4:05 PM EST
LV win probability 61.0%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Dec 13, 4:25 PM EST
CIN win probability 54.7%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Dec 13, 4:25 PM EST
SF win probability 66.4%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Dec 13, 4:25 PM EST
SEA win probability 78.8%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Dec 13, 8:20 PM EST
BUF win probability 59.2%
Full matchup analysis →Mon, Dec 14, 8:15 PM EST
JAX win probability 72.3%
Full matchup analysis →Thu, Dec 17, 8:15 PM EST
SF win probability 78.0%
Full matchup analysis →Sat, Dec 19, 5:00 PM EST
SEA win probability 70.8%
Full matchup analysis →Sat, Dec 19, 8:20 PM EST
BUF win probability 62.9%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Dec 20, 1:00 PM EST
WAS win probability 55.5%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Dec 20, 1:00 PM EST
PIT win probability 59.0%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Dec 20, 1:00 PM EST
CIN win probability 62.3%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Dec 20, 1:00 PM EST
NYG win probability 56.3%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Dec 20, 1:00 PM EST
IND win probability 52.8%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Dec 20, 1:00 PM EST
JAX win probability 60.7%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Dec 20, 1:00 PM EST
GB win probability 77.6%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Dec 20, 1:00 PM EST
TB win probability 65.7%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Dec 20, 4:05 PM EST
ARI win probability 53.8%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Dec 20, 4:25 PM EST
LAR win probability 64.8%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Dec 20, 4:25 PM EST
DEN win probability 58.6%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Dec 20, 8:20 PM EST
MIN win probability 51.8%
Full matchup analysis →Mon, Dec 21, 8:15 PM EST
KC win probability 53.0%
Full matchup analysis →Thu, Dec 24, 8:15 PM EST
HOU win probability 59.5%
Full matchup analysis →Fri, Dec 25, 1:00 PM EST
CHI win probability 63.0%
Full matchup analysis →Fri, Dec 25, 4:30 PM EST
BUF win probability 60.8%
Full matchup analysis →Fri, Dec 25, 8:15 PM EST
SEA win probability 60.8%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Dec 27, 1:00 PM EST
NO win probability 55.2%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Dec 27, 1:00 PM EST
PIT win probability 65.3%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Dec 27, 1:00 PM EST
CIN win probability 65.7%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Dec 27, 1:00 PM EST
BAL win probability 65.2%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Dec 27, 1:00 PM EST
MIA win probability 51.9%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Dec 27, 1:00 PM EST
NE win probability 70.0%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Dec 27, 1:00 PM EST
ATL win probability 51.6%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Dec 27, 1:00 PM EST
MIN win probability 71.3%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Dec 27, 4:05 PM EST
LV win probability 65.9%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Dec 27, 4:25 PM EST
SF win probability 55.4%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Dec 27, 8:20 PM EST
JAX win probability 62.8%
Full matchup analysis →Mon, Dec 28, 8:15 PM EST
DET win probability 75.8%
Full matchup analysis →Thu, Dec 31, 8:15 PM EST
CIN win probability 66.7%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Jan 3, 1:00 PM EST
BUF win probability 80.0%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Jan 3, 1:00 PM EST
NE win probability 64.4%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Jan 3, 1:00 PM EST
CLE win probability 56.0%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Jan 3, 1:00 PM EST
KC win probability 69.4%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Jan 3, 1:00 PM EST
LAR win probability 59.8%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Jan 3, 1:00 PM EST
MIN win probability 64.8%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Jan 3, 1:00 PM EST
ATL win probability 61.9%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Jan 3, 1:00 PM EST
DAL win probability 67.3%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Jan 3, 1:00 PM EST
PIT win probability 65.9%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Jan 3, 1:00 PM EST
SEA win probability 67.8%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Jan 3, 1:00 PM EST
JAX win probability 80.2%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Jan 3, 4:05 PM EST
ARI win probability 50.5%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Jan 3, 4:25 PM EST
CHI win probability 57.8%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Jan 3, 8:20 PM EST
SF win probability 83.1%
Full matchup analysis →Mon, Jan 4, 8:15 PM EST
GB win probability 58.5%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Jan 10, 1:00 PM EST
CAR win probability 56.4%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Jan 10, 1:00 PM EST
CHI win probability 50.3%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Jan 10, 1:00 PM EST
CIN win probability 75.0%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Jan 10, 1:00 PM EST
DAL win probability 54.7%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Jan 10, 1:00 PM EST
GB win probability 50.3%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Jan 10, 1:00 PM EST
JAX win probability 74.1%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Jan 10, 1:00 PM EST
DEN win probability 73.6%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Jan 10, 1:00 PM EST
KC win probability 74.2%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Jan 10, 1:00 PM EST
NE win probability 82.4%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Jan 10, 1:00 PM EST
BUF win probability 83.3%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Jan 10, 1:00 PM EST
NYG win probability 56.5%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Jan 10, 1:00 PM EST
BAL win probability 52.3%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Jan 10, 1:00 PM EST
LAR win probability 50.5%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Jan 10, 1:00 PM EST
SF win probability 77.8%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Jan 10, 1:00 PM EST
TB win probability 54.8%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Jan 10, 1:00 PM EST
HOU win probability 76.6%
Full matchup analysis →Methodology and data attribution
Break'n News computes these projections using its proprietary NFL model. Historical play-by-play data is sourced from nflverse. Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. Prediction versions are retained for evaluation and calibration.