Sun, Oct 18, 9:30 AM EDT
JAX win probability 65.8%
Full matchup analysis →Polls/Data · NFL
Break'n proprietary model projections for upcoming NFL games. Each matchup includes a projected score and win probability. Predictions are versioned so updates are preserved rather than overwritten.
Updated Oct 16, 2026, 6:46 PM EDT
Sun, Oct 18, 9:30 AM EDT
JAX win probability 65.8%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 PM EDT
BAL win probability 73.1%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 PM EDT
PHI win probability 53.2%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 PM EDT
ATL win probability 51.5%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 PM EDT
NYG win probability 56.1%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 PM EDT
NE win probability 82.8%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 PM EDT
PIT win probability 52.3%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 PM EDT
IND win probability 72.1%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Oct 18, 4:05 PM EDT
LAR win probability 81.7%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Oct 18, 4:25 PM EDT
BUF win probability 72.4%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Oct 18, 4:25 PM EDT
KC win probability 78.2%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Oct 18, 8:20 PM EDT
GB win probability 58.2%
Full matchup analysis →Mon, Oct 19, 8:15 PM EDT
SF win probability 86.7%
Full matchup analysis →Thu, Oct 22, 8:15 PM EDT
NE win probability 57.6%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Oct 25, 9:30 AM EDT
PIT win probability 57.7%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM EDT
BAL win probability 68.0%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM EDT
CLE win probability 50.9%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM EDT
MIN win probability 68.1%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM EDT
NYJ win probability 60.6%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM EDT
HOU win probability 74.3%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM EDT
SF win probability 71.0%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM EDT
CAR win probability 65.4%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Oct 25, 4:05 PM EDT
DEN win probability 63.7%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM EDT
DET win probability 63.1%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM EDT
LAR win probability 66.9%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM EDT
SEA win probability 58.3%
Full matchup analysis →Mon, Oct 26, 8:15 PM EDT
PHI win probability 52.2%
Full matchup analysis →Thu, Oct 29, 8:15 PM EDT
GB win probability 59.1%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 PM EST
DAL win probability 72.8%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 PM EST
ATL win probability 53.4%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 PM EST
BUF win probability 61.2%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 PM EST
PIT win probability 68.7%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 PM EST
JAX win probability 74.4%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 PM EST
LV win probability 51.9%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 PM EST
DET win probability 58.4%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 PM EST
CIN win probability 76.8%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Nov 1, 4:05 PM EST
LAR win probability 77.7%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Nov 1, 4:25 PM EST
KC win probability 56.9%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Nov 1, 4:25 PM EST
NE win probability 78.8%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Nov 1, 8:20 PM EST
PHI win probability 56.0%
Full matchup analysis →Mon, Nov 2, 8:15 PM EST
SEA win probability 69.0%
Full matchup analysis →Thu, Nov 5, 8:15 PM EST
BAL win probability 54.2%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Nov 8, 9:30 AM EST
ATL win probability 53.0%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 PM EST
NO win probability 56.2%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 PM EST
DAL win probability 50.0%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 PM EST
CAR win probability 53.8%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 PM EST
DET win probability 75.2%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 PM EST
LAR win probability 70.9%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 PM EST
PHI win probability 67.6%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 PM EST
KC win probability 81.7%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Nov 8, 4:05 PM EST
HOU win probability 61.3%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Nov 8, 4:05 PM EST
SF win probability 84.4%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Nov 8, 4:25 PM EST
SEA win probability 83.7%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Nov 8, 4:25 PM EST
NE win probability 67.8%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Nov 8, 8:20 PM EST
CHI win probability 68.1%
Full matchup analysis →Mon, Nov 9, 8:15 PM EST
BUF win probability 56.0%
Full matchup analysis →Thu, Nov 12, 8:15 PM EST
NYG win probability 54.7%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Nov 15, 9:30 AM EST
DET win probability 50.6%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 PM EST
BUF win probability 78.0%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 PM EST
CAR win probability 59.8%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 PM EST
HOU win probability 65.4%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 PM EST
JAX win probability 79.0%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 PM EST
KC win probability 59.9%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 PM EST
IND win probability 71.6%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 PM EST
GB win probability 50.7%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Nov 15, 4:05 PM EST
LAR win probability 73.8%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Nov 15, 4:05 PM EST
SEA win probability 69.9%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Nov 15, 4:25 PM EST
SF win probability 69.2%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Nov 15, 8:20 PM EST
CIN win probability 59.4%
Full matchup analysis →Mon, Nov 16, 8:15 PM EST
BAL win probability 78.3%
Full matchup analysis →Thu, Nov 19, 8:15 PM EST
HOU win probability 65.5%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Nov 22, 1:00 PM EST
KC win probability 82.2%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Nov 22, 1:00 PM EST
BAL win probability 58.8%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Nov 22, 1:00 PM EST
JAX win probability 73.6%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Nov 22, 1:00 PM EST
BUF win probability 87.3%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Nov 22, 1:00 PM EST
CHI win probability 72.6%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Nov 22, 1:00 PM EST
DET win probability 74.8%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Nov 22, 1:00 PM EST
DAL win probability 76.4%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Nov 22, 4:05 PM EST
LARC win probability 61.0%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Nov 22, 4:25 PM EST
DEN win probability 66.5%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Nov 22, 4:25 PM EST
PHI win probability 55.4%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Nov 22, 8:20 PM EST
SF win probability 72.4%
Full matchup analysis →Mon, Nov 23, 8:15 PM EST
CIN win probability 59.9%
Full matchup analysis →Wed, Nov 25, 8:00 PM EST
LAR win probability 65.4%
Full matchup analysis →Thu, Nov 26, 1:00 PM EST
DET win probability 63.6%
Full matchup analysis →Thu, Nov 26, 4:30 PM EST
DAL win probability 59.1%
Full matchup analysis →Thu, Nov 26, 8:20 PM EST
BUF win probability 61.2%
Full matchup analysis →Fri, Nov 27, 3:00 PM EST
PIT win probability 51.6%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Nov 29, 1:00 PM EST
MIN win probability 64.9%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Nov 29, 1:00 PM EST
BAL win probability 53.3%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Nov 29, 1:00 PM EST
LV win probability 50.9%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Nov 29, 1:00 PM EST
CIN win probability 71.4%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Nov 29, 1:00 PM EST
IND win probability 65.7%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Nov 29, 1:00 PM EST
MIA win probability 50.7%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Nov 29, 4:05 PM EST
JAX win probability 85.6%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Nov 29, 4:25 PM EST
SF win probability 64.9%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Nov 29, 4:25 PM EST
ARI win probability 52.1%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Nov 29, 8:20 PM EST
NE win probability 71.0%
Full matchup analysis →Mon, Nov 30, 8:15 PM EST
CAR win probability 54.5%
Full matchup analysis →Thu, Dec 3, 8:15 PM EST
LAR win probability 54.9%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Dec 6, 1:00 PM EST
CIN win probability 61.7%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Dec 6, 1:00 PM EST
DET win probability 56.7%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Dec 6, 1:00 PM EST
GB win probability 63.1%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Dec 6, 1:00 PM EST
JAX win probability 57.4%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Dec 6, 1:00 PM EST
TB win probability 57.1%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Dec 6, 1:00 PM EST
SF win probability 81.1%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Dec 6, 1:00 PM EST
WAS win probability 52.7%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Dec 6, 4:05 PM EST
DEN win probability 76.7%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Dec 6, 4:05 PM EST
PHI win probability 59.5%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Dec 6, 4:25 PM EST
NE win probability 51.8%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Dec 6, 4:25 PM EST
MIN win probability 63.8%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Dec 6, 8:20 PM EST
HOU win probability 52.1%
Full matchup analysis →Mon, Dec 7, 8:15 PM EST
SEA win probability 70.7%
Full matchup analysis →Thu, Dec 10, 8:15 PM EST
NE win probability 63.3%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Dec 13, 1:00 PM EST
ATL win probability 59.1%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Dec 13, 1:00 PM EST
CHI win probability 68.6%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Dec 13, 1:00 PM EST
DEN win probability 63.0%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Dec 13, 1:00 PM EST
HOU win probability 63.7%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Dec 13, 1:00 PM EST
PHI win probability 57.9%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Dec 13, 1:00 PM EST
CAR win probability 70.1%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Dec 13, 1:00 PM EST
BAL win probability 77.3%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Dec 13, 1:00 PM EST
DET win probability 83.0%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Dec 13, 4:05 PM EST
LV win probability 57.9%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Dec 13, 4:25 PM EST
KC win probability 57.3%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Dec 13, 4:25 PM EST
SF win probability 68.0%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Dec 13, 4:25 PM EST
SEA win probability 82.2%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Dec 13, 8:20 PM EST
BUF win probability 60.9%
Full matchup analysis →Mon, Dec 14, 8:15 PM EST
JAX win probability 72.4%
Full matchup analysis →Thu, Dec 17, 8:15 PM EST
SF win probability 78.9%
Full matchup analysis →Sat, Dec 19, 5:00 PM EST
SEA win probability 63.7%
Full matchup analysis →Sat, Dec 19, 8:20 PM EST
BUF win probability 71.5%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Dec 20, 1:00 PM EST
ATL win probability 57.3%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Dec 20, 1:00 PM EST
BAL win probability 60.9%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Dec 20, 1:00 PM EST
CAR win probability 54.2%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Dec 20, 1:00 PM EST
NYG win probability 56.6%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Dec 20, 1:00 PM EST
IND win probability 62.0%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Dec 20, 1:00 PM EST
JAX win probability 54.9%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Dec 20, 1:00 PM EST
GB win probability 77.9%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Dec 20, 1:00 PM EST
TB win probability 60.9%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Dec 20, 4:05 PM EST
ARI win probability 55.0%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Dec 20, 4:25 PM EST
LAR win probability 67.7%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Dec 20, 4:25 PM EST
DEN win probability 55.7%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Dec 20, 8:20 PM EST
MIN win probability 52.9%
Full matchup analysis →Mon, Dec 21, 8:15 PM EST
KC win probability 53.9%
Full matchup analysis →Thu, Dec 24, 8:15 PM EST
HOU win probability 52.3%
Full matchup analysis →Fri, Dec 25, 1:00 PM EST
CHI win probability 55.2%
Full matchup analysis →Fri, Dec 25, 4:30 PM EST
BUF win probability 62.4%
Full matchup analysis →Fri, Dec 25, 8:15 PM EST
SEA win probability 59.1%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Dec 27, 1:00 PM EST
NO win probability 57.9%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Dec 27, 1:00 PM EST
PIT win probability 53.5%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Dec 27, 1:00 PM EST
CIN win probability 50.6%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Dec 27, 1:00 PM EST
BAL win probability 81.1%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Dec 27, 1:00 PM EST
LARC win probability 54.8%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Dec 27, 1:00 PM EST
NE win probability 75.3%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Dec 27, 1:00 PM EST
ATL win probability 64.4%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Dec 27, 1:00 PM EST
MIN win probability 75.7%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Dec 27, 4:05 PM EST
LV win probability 68.1%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Dec 27, 4:25 PM EST
SF win probability 56.6%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Dec 27, 8:20 PM EST
JAX win probability 59.3%
Full matchup analysis →Mon, Dec 28, 8:15 PM EST
DET win probability 78.4%
Full matchup analysis →Thu, Dec 31, 8:15 PM EST
BAL win probability 57.3%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Jan 3, 1:00 PM EST
BUF win probability 81.3%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Jan 3, 1:00 PM EST
NE win probability 69.2%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Jan 3, 1:00 PM EST
IND win probability 55.6%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Jan 3, 1:00 PM EST
KC win probability 69.5%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Jan 3, 1:00 PM EST
LAR win probability 67.5%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Jan 3, 1:00 PM EST
MIN win probability 68.9%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Jan 3, 1:00 PM EST
ATL win probability 69.2%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Jan 3, 1:00 PM EST
DAL win probability 70.6%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Jan 3, 1:00 PM EST
PIT win probability 64.4%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Jan 3, 1:00 PM EST
SEA win probability 61.4%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Jan 3, 1:00 PM EST
JAX win probability 80.9%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Jan 3, 4:05 PM EST
LV win probability 52.7%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Jan 3, 4:25 PM EST
DET win probability 52.5%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Jan 3, 8:20 PM EST
SF win probability 80.3%
Full matchup analysis →Mon, Jan 4, 8:15 PM EST
GB win probability 53.7%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Jan 10, 1:00 PM EST
CAR win probability 56.8%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Jan 10, 1:00 PM EST
MIN win probability 61.0%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Jan 10, 1:00 PM EST
CIN win probability 71.8%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Jan 10, 1:00 PM EST
DAL win probability 59.4%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Jan 10, 1:00 PM EST
DET win probability 52.0%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Jan 10, 1:00 PM EST
JAX win probability 64.7%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Jan 10, 1:00 PM EST
DEN win probability 68.4%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Jan 10, 1:00 PM EST
KC win probability 76.7%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Jan 10, 1:00 PM EST
NE win probability 85.5%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Jan 10, 1:00 PM EST
BUF win probability 84.9%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Jan 10, 1:00 PM EST
PHI win probability 57.0%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Jan 10, 1:00 PM EST
BAL win probability 71.1%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Jan 10, 1:00 PM EST
LAR win probability 52.2%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Jan 10, 1:00 PM EST
SF win probability 82.7%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Jan 10, 1:00 PM EST
NO win probability 50.3%
Full matchup analysis →Sun, Jan 10, 1:00 PM EST
HOU win probability 79.6%
Full matchup analysis →Methodology and data attribution
Break'n News computes these projections using its proprietary NFL model. Historical play-by-play data is sourced from nflverse. Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. Prediction versions are retained for evaluation and calibration.