NFL Week 8 · Matchup Intelligence
CLE at PIT
Sunday, November 1 at 1:00 PM EST
Projected score
CLE 19 · PIT 24
Win probability
PIT 68.7%
CLE 31.3%
Tie 0.0%
Injury impact
No current-week report-status adjustments are available yet.
Weather Prediction
No outdoor NWS forecast is available yet. Forecasts are added when the game enters the NWS forecast horizon; indoor games do not require an outdoor forecast.
Team strength snapshot
CLE · Elo 1411
Offense EPA/play -0.108 · Defense EPA/play 0.003
Offense success 42.2% · Defense success 47.5%
PIT · Elo 1549
Offense EPA/play -0.099 · Defense EPA/play -0.059
Offense success 43.8% · Defense success 44.3%
Matchup Advantage Matrix
Pregame V3.4 matchup signals. Positive values lean toward PIT; negative values lean toward CLE.
Opponent-adjusted EPA
PIT · 0.062
Pressure matchup
PIT · 0.086
Explosive-play matchup
CLE · -0.003
Third-down matchup
PIT · 0.022
Red-zone matchup
CLE · -0.123
QB intelligence
CLE · -0.017
Injury availability
Even · 0.000
Quarterback comparison
CLE · D.Watson
168 season pass attempts · EPA/dropback 0.024 · CPOE -2.4
PIT · A.Rodgers
199 season pass attempts · EPA/dropback -0.071 · CPOE -2.5
Prediction range
CLE: median 19, 10th–90th percentile 7–31
PIT: median 24, 10th–90th percentile 12–36
Recent form
CLE 12 · NYJ 17
IND 22 · PIT 34
PIT 24 · CLE 27
CIN 27 · PIT 30
CAR 18 · CLE 21
CLE 23 · TB 19
PIT 3 · NE 20
ATL 13 · PIT 20
CLE 10 · JAX 34
Model context
BN NFL V4 preserves the chronologically validated V3.4 win-probability model — opponent-adjusted EPA and success rate, pressure, explosive plays, third downs, red zone, QB intelligence, Elo and player-aware injury availability — and adds a probability-consistent score layer so the projected score and favored team no longer contradict the win probability. Prediction ranges use chronological out-of-sample empirical score residuals. Weather remains part of Matchup Intelligence but is not used in the current prediction calculation. New prediction snapshots are timestamped rather than overwriting earlier forecasts.
Generated Oct 16, 2026, 6:46 PM EDT