NFL Week 8 · Matchup Intelligence
LAC at LA
Sunday, November 1 at 4:05 PM EST
Projected score
LAC 19 · LA 26
Win probability
LA 77.7%
LAC 22.3%
Tie 0.0%
Injury impact
No current-week report-status adjustments are available yet.
Weather Prediction
No outdoor NWS forecast is available yet. Forecasts are added when the game enters the NWS forecast horizon; indoor games do not require an outdoor forecast.
Team strength snapshot
LA · Elo 1591
Offense EPA/play 0.040 · Defense EPA/play 0.025
Offense success 50.4% · Defense success 48.9%
LAC · Elo 1499
Offense EPA/play -0.113 · Defense EPA/play -0.041
Offense success 43.0% · Defense success 44.0%
Matchup Advantage Matrix
Pregame V3.4 matchup signals. Positive values lean toward LA; negative values lean toward LAC.
Opponent-adjusted EPA
LA · 0.114
Pressure matchup
LA · 0.111
Explosive-play matchup
LA · 0.022
Third-down matchup
LA · 0.056
Red-zone matchup
LAC · -0.040
QB intelligence
LA · 0.381
Injury availability
Even · 0.000
Quarterback comparison
LA · M.Stafford
224 season pass attempts · EPA/dropback 0.142 · CPOE 0.3
LAC · J.Herbert
160 season pass attempts · EPA/dropback -0.193 · CPOE -4.5
Prediction range
LAC: median 19, 10th–90th percentile 7–32
LA: median 26, 10th–90th percentile 14–39
Recent form
BUF 37 · LA 34
DEN 23 · LAC 17
LAC 23 · SEA 30
LA 24 · PHI 20
LA 26 · DEN 30
LAC 16 · BUF 24
NYG 6 · LA 28
LV 26 · LAC 14
ARI 26 · LAC 14
SF 27 · LA 7
Model context
BN NFL V4 preserves the chronologically validated V3.4 win-probability model — opponent-adjusted EPA and success rate, pressure, explosive plays, third downs, red zone, QB intelligence, Elo and player-aware injury availability — and adds a probability-consistent score layer so the projected score and favored team no longer contradict the win probability. Prediction ranges use chronological out-of-sample empirical score residuals. Weather remains part of Matchup Intelligence but is not used in the current prediction calculation. New prediction snapshots are timestamped rather than overwriting earlier forecasts.
Generated Oct 16, 2026, 6:46 PM EDT