NFL Week 8 · Matchup Intelligence
PHI at WAS
Sunday, November 1 at 8:20 PM EST
Projected score
PHI 23 · WAS 23
Win probability
WAS 44.0%
PHI 56.0%
Tie 0.0%
Injury impact
No current-week report-status adjustments are available yet.
Weather Prediction
No outdoor NWS forecast is available yet. Forecasts are added when the game enters the NWS forecast horizon; indoor games do not require an outdoor forecast.
Team strength snapshot
PHI · Elo 1643
Offense EPA/play 0.021 · Defense EPA/play -0.032
Offense success 44.5% · Defense success 44.4%
WAS · Elo 1445
Offense EPA/play 0.020 · Defense EPA/play 0.122
Offense success 47.9% · Defense success 50.0%
Matchup Advantage Matrix
Pregame V3.4 matchup signals. Positive values lean toward WAS; negative values lean toward PHI.
Opponent-adjusted EPA
PHI · -0.047
Pressure matchup
PHI · -0.058
Explosive-play matchup
WAS · 0.005
Third-down matchup
WAS · 0.019
Red-zone matchup
WAS · 0.319
QB intelligence
WAS · 0.059
Injury availability
Even · 0.000
Quarterback comparison
PHI · J.Hurts
167 season pass attempts · EPA/dropback -0.058 · CPOE -2.2
WAS · J.Daniels
84 season pass attempts · EPA/dropback 0.020 · CPOE 2.1
Prediction range
PHI: median 23, 10th–90th percentile 11–36
WAS: median 23, 10th–90th percentile 11–35
Recent form
NYG 27 · WAS 27
PHI 17 · JAX 19
LA 24 · PHI 20
IND 30 · WAS 13
PHI 7 · CHI 27
SEA 31 · WAS 33
PHI 24 · TEN 20
WAS 20 · DAL 37
WAS 22 · PHI 24
Model context
BN NFL V4 preserves the chronologically validated V3.4 win-probability model — opponent-adjusted EPA and success rate, pressure, explosive plays, third downs, red zone, QB intelligence, Elo and player-aware injury availability — and adds a probability-consistent score layer so the projected score and favored team no longer contradict the win probability. Prediction ranges use chronological out-of-sample empirical score residuals. Weather remains part of Matchup Intelligence but is not used in the current prediction calculation. New prediction snapshots are timestamped rather than overwriting earlier forecasts.
Generated Oct 16, 2026, 6:46 PM EDT