NFL Week 9 · Matchup Intelligence
GB at NE
Sunday, November 8 at 4:25 PM EST
Projected score
GB 20 · NE 23
Win probability
NE 62.9%
GB 37.1%
Tie 0.0%
Injury impact
No current-week report-status adjustments are available yet.
Weather Prediction
Mostly Sunny
57°F · wind 7 mph · precipitation 1%
Team strength snapshot
GB · Elo 1558
Offense EPA/play 0.022 · Defense EPA/play 0.032
Offense success 46.2% · Defense success 46.0%
NE · Elo 1544
Offense EPA/play 0.009 · Defense EPA/play -0.096
Offense success 46.6% · Defense success 44.3%
Matchup Advantage Matrix
Pregame V3.4 matchup signals. Positive values lean toward NE; negative values lean toward GB.
Opponent-adjusted EPA
NE · 0.055
Pressure matchup
GB · -0.013
Explosive-play matchup
GB · -0.008
Third-down matchup
GB · -0.021
Red-zone matchup
GB · -0.301
QB intelligence
NE · 0.109
Injury availability
Even · 0.000
Quarterback comparison
GB · J.Love
327 season pass attempts · EPA/dropback 0.141 · CPOE -1.1
NE · D.Maye
251 season pass attempts · EPA/dropback 0.209 · CPOE 7.3
Prediction range
GB: median 20, 10th–90th percentile 8–32
NE: median 23, 10th–90th percentile 11–36
Recent form
NE 24 · MIA 19
CAR 19 · GB 27
GB 17 · DET 20
NE 24 · CHI 30
DAL 13 · GB 23
NYJ 19 · NE 26
LV 17 · NE 45
CHI 7 · GB 31
NE 29 · BUF 26
GB 17 · TB 14
Model context
BN NFL V4 preserves the chronologically validated V3.4 win-probability model — opponent-adjusted EPA and success rate, pressure, explosive plays, third downs, red zone, QB intelligence, Elo and player-aware injury availability — and adds a probability-consistent score layer so the projected score and favored team no longer contradict the win probability. Prediction ranges use chronological out-of-sample empirical score residuals. Weather remains part of Matchup Intelligence but is not used in the current prediction calculation. New prediction snapshots are timestamped rather than overwriting earlier forecasts.
Generated Nov 5, 2026, 6:46 PM EST