NFL Week 9 · Matchup Intelligence
GB at NE
Sunday, November 8 at 4:25 PM EST
Projected score
GB 19 · NE 24
Win probability
NE 67.8%
GB 32.2%
Tie 0.0%
Injury impact
No current-week report-status adjustments are available yet.
Weather Prediction
No outdoor NWS forecast is available yet. Forecasts are added when the game enters the NWS forecast horizon; indoor games do not require an outdoor forecast.
Team strength snapshot
GB · Elo 1558
Offense EPA/play 0.022 · Defense EPA/play 0.032
Offense success 46.2% · Defense success 46.0%
NE · Elo 1544
Offense EPA/play 0.009 · Defense EPA/play -0.096
Offense success 46.6% · Defense success 44.3%
Matchup Advantage Matrix
Pregame V3.4 matchup signals. Positive values lean toward NE; negative values lean toward GB.
Opponent-adjusted EPA
NE · 0.115
Pressure matchup
NE · 0.009
Explosive-play matchup
NE · 0.002
Third-down matchup
NE · 0.002
Red-zone matchup
GB · -0.564
QB intelligence
NE · 0.032
Injury availability
Even · 0.000
Quarterback comparison
GB · J.Love
196 season pass attempts · EPA/dropback 0.110 · CPOE -3.1
NE · D.Maye
163 season pass attempts · EPA/dropback 0.125 · CPOE 6.7
Prediction range
GB: median 19, 10th–90th percentile 7–32
NE: median 24, 10th–90th percentile 12–36
Recent form
LV 17 · NE 45
CHI 7 · GB 31
NE 29 · BUF 26
GB 17 · TB 14
NE 6 · JAX 35
ATL 35 · GB 14
GB 20 · NYJ 17
PIT 3 · NE 20
GB 22 · MIN 39
NE 10 · SEA 13
Model context
BN NFL V4 preserves the chronologically validated V3.4 win-probability model — opponent-adjusted EPA and success rate, pressure, explosive plays, third downs, red zone, QB intelligence, Elo and player-aware injury availability — and adds a probability-consistent score layer so the projected score and favored team no longer contradict the win probability. Prediction ranges use chronological out-of-sample empirical score residuals. Weather remains part of Matchup Intelligence but is not used in the current prediction calculation. New prediction snapshots are timestamped rather than overwriting earlier forecasts.
Generated Oct 16, 2026, 6:46 PM EDT