NFL Week 9 · Matchup Intelligence
LA at WAS
Sunday, November 8 at 1:00 PM EST
Projected score
LA 25 · WAS 22
Win probability
WAS 36.1%
LA 63.9%
Tie 0.0%
Injury impact
No current-week report-status adjustments are available yet.
Weather Prediction
Sunny
61°F · wind 12 mph · precipitation 0%
Team strength snapshot
LA · Elo 1591
Offense EPA/play 0.040 · Defense EPA/play 0.025
Offense success 50.4% · Defense success 48.9%
WAS · Elo 1445
Offense EPA/play 0.020 · Defense EPA/play 0.122
Offense success 47.9% · Defense success 50.0%
Matchup Advantage Matrix
Pregame V3.4 matchup signals. Positive values lean toward WAS; negative values lean toward LA.
Opponent-adjusted EPA
LA · -0.063
Pressure matchup
LA · -0.046
Explosive-play matchup
LA · -0.001
Third-down matchup
WAS · 0.003
Red-zone matchup
WAS · 0.296
QB intelligence
LA · -0.069
Injury availability
Even · 0.000
Quarterback comparison
LA · M.Stafford
317 season pass attempts · EPA/dropback 0.094 · CPOE 0.6
WAS · J.Daniels
159 season pass attempts · EPA/dropback 0.043 · CPOE 5.6
Prediction range
LA: median 25, 10th–90th percentile 13–37
WAS: median 22, 10th–90th percentile 10–35
Recent form
PHI 10 · WAS 27
LAC 9 · LA 24
LA 35 · LV 21
WAS 17 · SF 23
ARI 18 · LA 16
BUF 37 · LA 34
NYG 27 · WAS 27
LA 24 · PHI 20
IND 30 · WAS 13
LA 26 · DEN 30
Model context
BN NFL V4 preserves the chronologically validated V3.4 win-probability model — opponent-adjusted EPA and success rate, pressure, explosive plays, third downs, red zone, QB intelligence, Elo and player-aware injury availability — and adds a probability-consistent score layer so the projected score and favored team no longer contradict the win probability. Prediction ranges use chronological out-of-sample empirical score residuals. Weather remains part of Matchup Intelligence but is not used in the current prediction calculation. New prediction snapshots are timestamped rather than overwriting earlier forecasts.
Generated Nov 5, 2026, 6:46 PM EST