NFL Week 9 · Matchup Intelligence
LA at WAS
Sunday, November 8 at 1:00 PM EST
Projected score
LA 27 · WAS 23
Win probability
WAS 29.1%
LA 70.9%
Tie 0.0%
Injury impact
No current-week report-status adjustments are available yet.
Weather Prediction
No outdoor NWS forecast is available yet. Forecasts are added when the game enters the NWS forecast horizon; indoor games do not require an outdoor forecast.
Team strength snapshot
LA · Elo 1591
Offense EPA/play 0.040 · Defense EPA/play 0.025
Offense success 50.4% · Defense success 48.9%
WAS · Elo 1445
Offense EPA/play 0.020 · Defense EPA/play 0.122
Offense success 47.9% · Defense success 50.0%
Matchup Advantage Matrix
Pregame V3.4 matchup signals. Positive values lean toward WAS; negative values lean toward LA.
Opponent-adjusted EPA
LA · -0.119
Pressure matchup
LA · -0.029
Explosive-play matchup
LA · -0.022
Third-down matchup
WAS · 0.009
Red-zone matchup
WAS · 0.326
QB intelligence
LA · -0.196
Injury availability
Even · 0.000
Quarterback comparison
LA · M.Stafford
224 season pass attempts · EPA/dropback 0.142 · CPOE 0.3
WAS · J.Daniels
84 season pass attempts · EPA/dropback 0.020 · CPOE 2.1
Prediction range
LA: median 27, 10th–90th percentile 15–39
WAS: median 23, 10th–90th percentile 11–35
Recent form
BUF 37 · LA 34
NYG 27 · WAS 27
LA 24 · PHI 20
IND 30 · WAS 13
LA 26 · DEN 30
SEA 31 · WAS 33
NYG 6 · LA 28
WAS 20 · DAL 37
WAS 22 · PHI 24
SF 27 · LA 7
Model context
BN NFL V4 preserves the chronologically validated V3.4 win-probability model — opponent-adjusted EPA and success rate, pressure, explosive plays, third downs, red zone, QB intelligence, Elo and player-aware injury availability — and adds a probability-consistent score layer so the projected score and favored team no longer contradict the win probability. Prediction ranges use chronological out-of-sample empirical score residuals. Weather remains part of Matchup Intelligence but is not used in the current prediction calculation. New prediction snapshots are timestamped rather than overwriting earlier forecasts.
Generated Oct 16, 2026, 6:46 PM EDT