NFL Week 10 · Matchup Intelligence
SEA at LV
Sunday, November 15 at 4:05 PM EST
Projected score
SEA 26 · LV 22
Win probability
LV 31.0%
SEA 69.0%
Tie 0.0%
Injury impact
No current-week report-status adjustments are available yet.
Weather Prediction
No outdoor NWS forecast is available yet. Forecasts are added when the game enters the NWS forecast horizon; indoor games do not require an outdoor forecast.
Team strength snapshot
LV · Elo 1358
Offense EPA/play -0.117 · Defense EPA/play -0.041
Offense success 43.6% · Defense success 44.0%
SEA · Elo 1656
Offense EPA/play 0.080 · Defense EPA/play -0.129
Offense success 49.5% · Defense success 42.3%
Matchup Advantage Matrix
Pregame V3.4 matchup signals. Positive values lean toward LV; negative values lean toward SEA.
Opponent-adjusted EPA
SEA · -0.174
Pressure matchup
LV · 0.016
Explosive-play matchup
SEA · -0.022
Third-down matchup
LV · 0.130
Red-zone matchup
SEA · -0.020
QB intelligence
LV · 0.135
Injury availability
Even · 0.000
Quarterback comparison
LV · K.Cousins
299 season pass attempts · EPA/dropback 0.184 · CPOE -0.4
SEA · S.Darnold
230 season pass attempts · EPA/dropback -0.071 · CPOE -2.5
Prediction range
SEA: median 26, 10th–90th percentile 14–38
LV: median 22, 10th–90th percentile 10–34
Recent form
CHI 34 · SEA 17
LV 38 · NYJ 33
KC 3 · SEA 20
LA 35 · LV 21
BUF 33 · LV 30
SEA 14 · DEN 17
SF 32 · SEA 29
LV 17 · NE 45
KC 30 · LV 27
LAC 23 · SEA 30
Model context
BN NFL V4 preserves the chronologically validated V3.4 win-probability model — opponent-adjusted EPA and success rate, pressure, explosive plays, third downs, red zone, QB intelligence, Elo and player-aware injury availability — and adds a probability-consistent score layer so the projected score and favored team no longer contradict the win probability. Prediction ranges use chronological out-of-sample empirical score residuals. Weather remains part of Matchup Intelligence but is not used in the current prediction calculation. New prediction snapshots are timestamped rather than overwriting earlier forecasts.
Generated Nov 5, 2026, 6:46 PM EST