NFL Week 12 · Matchup Intelligence
GB at LA
Wednesday, November 25 at 8:00 PM EST
Projected score
GB 21 · LA 24
Win probability
LA 60.0%
GB 40.0%
Tie 0.0%
Injury impact
No current-week report-status adjustments are available yet.
Weather Prediction
No outdoor NWS forecast is available yet. Forecasts are added when the game enters the NWS forecast horizon; indoor games do not require an outdoor forecast.
Team strength snapshot
GB · Elo 1558
Offense EPA/play 0.022 · Defense EPA/play 0.032
Offense success 46.2% · Defense success 46.0%
LA · Elo 1591
Offense EPA/play 0.040 · Defense EPA/play 0.025
Offense success 50.4% · Defense success 48.9%
Matchup Advantage Matrix
Pregame V3.4 matchup signals. Positive values lean toward LA; negative values lean toward GB.
Opponent-adjusted EPA
LA · 0.021
Pressure matchup
LA · 0.029
Explosive-play matchup
GB · -0.018
Third-down matchup
GB · -0.034
Red-zone matchup
GB · -0.011
QB intelligence
GB · -0.087
Injury availability
Even · 0.000
Quarterback comparison
GB · J.Love
327 season pass attempts · EPA/dropback 0.141 · CPOE -1.1
LA · M.Stafford
317 season pass attempts · EPA/dropback 0.094 · CPOE 0.6
Prediction range
GB: median 21, 10th–90th percentile 9–33
LA: median 24, 10th–90th percentile 12–36
Recent form
LAC 9 · LA 24
CAR 19 · GB 27
LA 35 · LV 21
GB 17 · DET 20
DAL 13 · GB 23
ARI 18 · LA 16
BUF 37 · LA 34
CHI 7 · GB 31
GB 17 · TB 14
LA 24 · PHI 20
Model context
BN NFL V4 preserves the chronologically validated V3.4 win-probability model — opponent-adjusted EPA and success rate, pressure, explosive plays, third downs, red zone, QB intelligence, Elo and player-aware injury availability — and adds a probability-consistent score layer so the projected score and favored team no longer contradict the win probability. Prediction ranges use chronological out-of-sample empirical score residuals. Weather remains part of Matchup Intelligence but is not used in the current prediction calculation. New prediction snapshots are timestamped rather than overwriting earlier forecasts.
Generated Nov 5, 2026, 6:46 PM EST