NFL Week 13 · Matchup Intelligence
DAL at SEA
Monday, December 7 at 8:15 PM EST
Projected score
DAL 22 · SEA 27
Win probability
SEA 69.4%
DAL 30.6%
Tie 0.0%
Injury impact
No current-week report-status adjustments are available yet.
Weather Prediction
No outdoor NWS forecast is available yet. Forecasts are added when the game enters the NWS forecast horizon; indoor games do not require an outdoor forecast.
Team strength snapshot
DAL · Elo 1481
Offense EPA/play 0.105 · Defense EPA/play 0.159
Offense success 48.4% · Defense success 52.2%
SEA · Elo 1656
Offense EPA/play 0.080 · Defense EPA/play -0.129
Offense success 49.5% · Defense success 42.3%
Matchup Advantage Matrix
Pregame V3.4 matchup signals. Positive values lean toward SEA; negative values lean toward DAL.
Opponent-adjusted EPA
SEA · 0.145
Pressure matchup
DAL · -0.083
Explosive-play matchup
SEA · 0.030
Third-down matchup
DAL · -0.220
Red-zone matchup
DAL · -0.207
QB intelligence
DAL · -0.128
Injury availability
Even · 0.000
Quarterback comparison
DAL · D.Prescott
316 season pass attempts · EPA/dropback 0.165 · CPOE 0.2
SEA · S.Darnold
230 season pass attempts · EPA/dropback -0.071 · CPOE -2.5
Prediction range
DAL: median 22, 10th–90th percentile 10–34
SEA: median 27, 10th–90th percentile 15–39
Recent form
CHI 34 · SEA 17
ARI 33 · DAL 30
DAL 38 · PHI 21
KC 3 · SEA 20
DAL 13 · GB 23
SEA 14 · DEN 17
SF 32 · SEA 29
TB 24 · DAL 16
LAC 23 · SEA 30
DAL 34 · HOU 30
Model context
BN NFL V4 preserves the chronologically validated V3.4 win-probability model — opponent-adjusted EPA and success rate, pressure, explosive plays, third downs, red zone, QB intelligence, Elo and player-aware injury availability — and adds a probability-consistent score layer so the projected score and favored team no longer contradict the win probability. Prediction ranges use chronological out-of-sample empirical score residuals. Weather remains part of Matchup Intelligence but is not used in the current prediction calculation. New prediction snapshots are timestamped rather than overwriting earlier forecasts.
Generated Nov 5, 2026, 6:46 PM EST