NFL Week 14 · Matchup Intelligence
NYG at SEA
Sunday, December 13 at 4:25 PM EST
Projected score
NYG 19 · SEA 26
Win probability
SEA 78.8%
NYG 21.2%
Tie 0.0%
Injury impact
No current-week report-status adjustments are available yet.
Weather Prediction
No outdoor NWS forecast is available yet. Forecasts are added when the game enters the NWS forecast horizon; indoor games do not require an outdoor forecast.
Team strength snapshot
NYG · Elo 1359
Offense EPA/play 0.003 · Defense EPA/play 0.088
Offense success 45.6% · Defense success 49.2%
SEA · Elo 1656
Offense EPA/play 0.080 · Defense EPA/play -0.129
Offense success 49.5% · Defense success 42.3%
Matchup Advantage Matrix
Pregame V3.4 matchup signals. Positive values lean toward SEA; negative values lean toward NYG.
Opponent-adjusted EPA
SEA · 0.184
Pressure matchup
NYG · -0.051
Explosive-play matchup
SEA · 0.013
Third-down matchup
NYG · -0.096
Red-zone matchup
NYG · -0.020
QB intelligence
SEA · 0.094
Injury availability
Even · 0.000
Quarterback comparison
NYG · J.Winston
174 season pass attempts · EPA/dropback -0.116 · CPOE -7.5
SEA · S.Darnold
230 season pass attempts · EPA/dropback -0.071 · CPOE -2.5
Prediction range
NYG: median 19, 10th–90th percentile 7–32
SEA: median 26, 10th–90th percentile 14–38
Recent form
CHI 34 · SEA 17
KC 3 · SEA 20
NYG 27 · HOU 21
NO 34 · NYG 27
SEA 14 · DEN 17
SF 32 · SEA 29
NYG 27 · WAS 27
LAC 23 · SEA 30
ARI 24 · NYG 36
TEN 7 · NYG 12
Model context
BN NFL V4 preserves the chronologically validated V3.4 win-probability model — opponent-adjusted EPA and success rate, pressure, explosive plays, third downs, red zone, QB intelligence, Elo and player-aware injury availability — and adds a probability-consistent score layer so the projected score and favored team no longer contradict the win probability. Prediction ranges use chronological out-of-sample empirical score residuals. Weather remains part of Matchup Intelligence but is not used in the current prediction calculation. New prediction snapshots are timestamped rather than overwriting earlier forecasts.
Generated Nov 5, 2026, 6:46 PM EST