NFL Week 18 · Matchup Intelligence
SEA at LA
Sunday, January 10 at 1:00 PM EST
Projected score
SEA 22 · LA 23
Win probability
LA 50.5%
SEA 49.5%
Tie 0.0%
Injury impact
No current-week report-status adjustments are available yet.
Weather Prediction
No outdoor NWS forecast is available yet. Forecasts are added when the game enters the NWS forecast horizon; indoor games do not require an outdoor forecast.
Team strength snapshot
LA · Elo 1591
Offense EPA/play 0.040 · Defense EPA/play 0.025
Offense success 50.4% · Defense success 48.9%
SEA · Elo 1656
Offense EPA/play 0.080 · Defense EPA/play -0.129
Offense success 49.5% · Defense success 42.3%
Matchup Advantage Matrix
Pregame V3.4 matchup signals. Positive values lean toward LA; negative values lean toward SEA.
Opponent-adjusted EPA
SEA · -0.086
Pressure matchup
LA · 0.087
Explosive-play matchup
SEA · -0.011
Third-down matchup
LA · 0.071
Red-zone matchup
SEA · -0.193
QB intelligence
LA · 0.030
Injury availability
Even · 0.000
Quarterback comparison
LA · M.Stafford
317 season pass attempts · EPA/dropback 0.094 · CPOE 0.6
SEA · S.Darnold
230 season pass attempts · EPA/dropback -0.071 · CPOE -2.5
Prediction range
SEA: median 22, 10th–90th percentile 10–35
LA: median 23, 10th–90th percentile 11–36
Recent form
CHI 34 · SEA 17
LAC 9 · LA 24
KC 3 · SEA 20
LA 35 · LV 21
ARI 18 · LA 16
SEA 14 · DEN 17
BUF 37 · LA 34
SF 32 · SEA 29
LAC 23 · SEA 30
LA 24 · PHI 20
Model context
BN NFL V4 preserves the chronologically validated V3.4 win-probability model — opponent-adjusted EPA and success rate, pressure, explosive plays, third downs, red zone, QB intelligence, Elo and player-aware injury availability — and adds a probability-consistent score layer so the projected score and favored team no longer contradict the win probability. Prediction ranges use chronological out-of-sample empirical score residuals. Weather remains part of Matchup Intelligence but is not used in the current prediction calculation. New prediction snapshots are timestamped rather than overwriting earlier forecasts.
Generated Nov 5, 2026, 6:46 PM EST